Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Alumni Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Temple (8-5) | 35 | 27 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 26 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Boston College (7-5) | 45 | 31 | -4.0 | 64% | 32 | -6.0 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Cincinnati (11-2) | 49 | 51 | -40.0 | 100% | ✔ | 55 | -52.0 | 100% | ✔ | |
| Connecticut (1-11) | 7 | 11 | +40.0 | 0% | 3 | +52.0 | 0% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Old Dominion (4-8) | 35 | 33 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 32 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| East Carolina (3-9) | 37 | 32 | +1.0 | 46% | 32 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Gerald J. Ford Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Houston Baptist (0-10) | 27 | 29 | +19.0 | 7% | ✔ | 12 | +53.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| SMU (5-7) | 63 | 48 | -19.0 | 93% | 65 | -53.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spectrum Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Pittsburgh (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +23.0 | 4% | ✔ | 11 | +35.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| UCF (12-1) | 45 | 41 | -23.0 | 96% | 47 | -35.5 | 99% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.